Arkansas
W-L: (38-25) PR = 97.5159Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 12- 2 214 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 215 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 6- 5 216 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 3- 1 220 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 5- 2 221 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7- 6 222 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 11- 0 224 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 4-12 225 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 1- 0 227 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 3- 4 228 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 9- 0 301 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 11-13 303 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 10- 2 306 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 7- 9 307 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 13- 1 308 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 1- 4 309 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 4- 6 313 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5- 4 314 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2- 7 314 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7- 3 317 A North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 13- 7 318 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 9- 0 320 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 22- 6 321 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 3- 3 322 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 9 324 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 15- 2 327 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4- 9 328 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4- 7 329 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 7 331 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 14-15 402 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2-10 403 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 2 404 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 8 407 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 7- 0 410 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7- 5 411 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 15- 6 412 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 2 414 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 12- 2 416 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 6- 3 417 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 3- 5 418 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 14-26 421 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 12- 4 423 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 5- 4 424 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 6- 0 425 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 1- 6 429 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 5- 2 501 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 12- 2 502 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4-11 503 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 5- 4 508 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 12- 2 509 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 12- 8 510 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 10-15 514 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 3- 5 515 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 5- 1 516 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 16-12 520 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 8- 4 522 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 8- 1 523 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 2- 1 524 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1-11 529 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 9- 5 530 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 3- 5 530 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 3- 5 531 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 10-13 531 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 10- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Oklahoma State 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.05
214 A TCU 4- 5 -1 1 -1.91
215 H Texas Tech 6- 5 1 2 -1.40
216 A Tarleton State 3- 1 2 2 -0.01
220 A Southeast Missouri Sta 5- 2 3 3 -0.20
221 H Xavier 7- 6 1 5 - -3.60
222 H Xavier 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.40
224 H Arkansas State 4-12 -8 3 --- -10.67
227 H UT Arlington 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.80
228 H UT Arlington 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.20
301 A Monmouth 11-13 -2 4 -- -5.76
303 A UC Davis 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.01
306 A Washington State 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.83
307 H Stetson 13- 1 12 5 +++ 6.57
308 H Stetson 1- 4 -3 5 --- -8.43
309 H Samford 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.45
313 H Mississippi State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.15
314 H Mississippi State 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85
314 H Mississippi State 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.15
317 A North Dakota State 13- 7 6 5 1.02
318 A Missouri 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.66
320 A South Carolina 22- 6 16 2 +++ 11.71
321 H UC Irvine 3- 3 0 4 - -3.86
322 A South Carolina 4- 9 -5 2 --- -7.29
324 H Central Arkansas 15- 2 13 5 +++ 7.52
327 H Florida 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.92
328 H Florida 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.92
329 H Florida 6- 7 -1 0 -0.92
331 A Missouri State 14-15 -1 1 -1.53
402 A Auburn 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.97
403 A Auburn 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.03
404 A Auburn 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.97
407 H Little Rock 7- 0 7 4 + 2.74
410 H Mississippi State 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.15
411 A Alabama 15- 6 9 0 +++ 9.24
412 A Alabama 3- 2 1 0 1.24
414 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 12- 2 10 6 ++ 4.22
416 H Georgia 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.75
417 H Georgia 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.25
418 H Georgia 14-26 -12 -1 --- -11.25
421 H Missouri State 12- 4 8 2 +++ 6.11
423 A Missouri 5- 4 1 2 -1.34
424 A Missouri 6- 0 6 2 + 3.66
425 A Missouri 1- 6 -5 2 --- -7.34
429 H Northwestern State 5- 2 3 7 - -3.85
501 H Ole Miss 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.48
502 H Ole Miss 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.52
503 H Ole Miss 5- 4 1 1 0.48
508 H Oklahoma 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.87
509 H Oklahoma 12- 8 4 1 + 2.87
510 H Oklahoma 10-15 -5 1 --- -6.13
514 H Florida Atlantic 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.44
515 H Florida Atlantic 5- 1 4 4 -0.44
516 A Kentucky 16-12 4 1 + 3.08
520 H Tennessee 8- 4 4 2 + 2.50
522 A Texas 8- 1 7 -3 +++ 9.62
523 A Auburn 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.03
524 A Georgia 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.89
529 H Missouri State 9- 5 4 2 + 2.11
530 A Kansas 3- 5 -2 0 -1.70
530 A Kansas 3- 5 -2 0 -1.70
531 H Kansas 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.05
531 A Northeastern 10- 9 1 2 -1.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Arkansas State 4-12 -8 3 --- -10.67 308 H Stetson 1- 4 -3 5 --- -8.43 322 A South Carolina 4- 9 -5 2 --- -7.29 418 H Georgia 14-26 -12 -1 --- -11.25 425 A Missouri 1- 6 -5 2 --- -7.34 502 H Ole Miss 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.52 510 H Oklahoma 10-15 -5 1 --- -6.13 514 H Florida Atlantic 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.44 524 A Georgia 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.89 227 H UT Arlington 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.80 301 A Monmouth 11-13 -2 4 -- -5.76 306 A Washington State 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.83 309 H Samford 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.45 327 H Florida 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.92 402 A Auburn 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.97 531 H Kansas 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.05 221 H Xavier 7- 6 1 5 - -3.60 314 H Mississippi State 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85 321 H UC Irvine 3- 3 0 4 - -3.86 328 H Florida 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.92 404 A Auburn 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.97 429 H Northwestern State 5- 2 3 7 - -3.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Oklahoma State 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.05 222 H Xavier 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.40 307 H Stetson 13- 1 12 5 +++ 6.57 318 A Missouri 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.66 320 A South Carolina 22- 6 16 2 +++ 11.71 324 H Central Arkansas 15- 2 13 5 +++ 7.52 411 A Alabama 15- 6 9 0 +++ 9.24 421 H Missouri State 12- 4 8 2 +++ 6.11 501 H Ole Miss 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.48 508 H Oklahoma 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.87 522 A Texas 8- 1 7 -3 +++ 9.62 228 H UT Arlington 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.20 303 A UC Davis 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.01 314 H Mississippi State 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.15 414 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 12- 2 10 6 ++ 4.22 313 H Mississippi State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.15 403 A Auburn 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.03 407 H Little Rock 7- 0 7 4 + 2.74 410 H Mississippi State 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.15 416 H Georgia 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.75 424 A Missouri 6- 0 6 2 + 3.66 509 H Oklahoma 12- 8 4 1 + 2.87 516 A Kentucky 16-12 4 1 + 3.08 520 H Tennessee 8- 4 4 2 + 2.50 523 A Auburn 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.03 529 H Missouri State 9- 5 4 2 + 2.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 12- 2 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.45 13.64
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.45 -0.74
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 6- 5 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.45 12.33
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.45 12.68
3 A Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 5- 2 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.45 11.61
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7- 6 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.45 10.34
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 11- 0 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.45 10.34
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 4-12 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.45 -1.14
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 1- 0 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.45 12.09
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.45 -1.62
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 9- 0 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.45 10.16
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 11-13 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.45 -1.39
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 10- 2 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.45 11.80
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 7- 9 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.45 -1.18
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 13- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.45 9.59
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 1- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.45 -1.77
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 4- 6 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.45 -1.32
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5- 4 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 15.54
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 2- 7 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 -0.28
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7- 3 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 15.54
3 A North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 13- 7 -8.04 10.38 0.68 0.45 9.99
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 9- 0 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 22- 6 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.45 12.43
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 3- 3 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.45 0.00
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 9 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.45 -1.06
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 15- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.45 9.54
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4- 9 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.45 -0.52
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4- 7 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.45 -0.52
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 7 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.45 -0.52
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 14-15 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.45 -0.66
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2-10 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.45 -0.08
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 2 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.45 16.34
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 8 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.45 -0.08
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 7- 0 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.45 10.65
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7- 5 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 15.54
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 15- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 14.72
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 14.72
3 H Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 12- 2 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 0.45 9.27
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 6- 3 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 15.18
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 3- 5 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 -0.37
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 14-26 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 -0.37
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 12- 4 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.45 12.79
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 5- 4 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 6- 0 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 1- 6 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 -1.07
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 5- 2 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.45 8.31
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 12- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 14.03
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4-11 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 -0.66
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 5- 4 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 14.03
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 12- 2 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 13.48
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 12- 8 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 13.48
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 10-15 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 -0.79
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 3- 5 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.45 -1.54
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 5- 1 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.45 10.49
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 16-12 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.45 13.66
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 8- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.45 13.14
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 8- 1 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.45 16.87
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 2- 1 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.45 16.34
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1-11 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.45 -0.06
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 9- 5 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.45 12.79
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.45 -0.47
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.45 -0.47
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 10-13 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.45 -0.78
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 10- 9 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.45 12.32
------
463.43
|
winning pts = 482.8884 losing points = -19.4557
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------